Predictive value of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index for all-cause mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients
摘要
The C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index is an emerging integrated inflammatory biomarker that reflects a patient’s inflammatory, nutritional, and immune status; its application in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients remains unexplored.
MethodsThis retrospective cohort study enrolled 955 PD patients and divided them into four groups according to the CALLY quartiles. Kaplan–Meier analysis assessed differences in survival rates. Cox regression models and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves evaluated the impact of CALLY and other indices on all-cause mortality. Decision curve analysis (DCA) estimated predictive performance and clinical utility.
ResultsThe highest CALLY quartile group exhibited a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality compared to the lowest quartile group (HR: 0.26, 95%CI: 0.12–0.57, p = 0.001). ROC analysis demonstrated that CALLY achieved higher predictive accuracy, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.753 (95%CI: 0.686–0.821), compared with C-reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio (CLR) (AUC: 0.730, 95%CI: 0.656–0.803) and C-reactive protein (AUC: 0.676, 95%CI: 0.598–0.755). Adding CALLY to a conventional risk model improved discrimination (Harrell’s C-index: 0.824 vs. 0.807, p = 0.014), demonstrating its potential incremental value for mortality prediction in PD patients.
ConclusionThe CALLY index can independently predict all-cause mortality in PD patients, and may have incremental value beyond traditional risk factors, with potential clinical decision-making value.