<p>How do we best measure degrees of causal contribution? Dependence theorists argue that causal strength is determined by the difference it makes, but this approach yields counterintuitive results in cases of overdetermination and pre-emption. Production theorists propose measuring an event’s causal contribution by the number of sets of actual events sufficient for the effect where the cause is necessary, yet they face challenges in pre-emption and switching cases. I propose an account that combines dependence and minimal sufficiency theories, avoiding these counterintuitive implications. This account states that the causal contribution of <i>C</i> to <i>E</i> is a function of the difference <i>C</i> makes to <i>E</i>’s security (a dependency function), provided that <i>C</i> is causally connected to <i>E</i> (a production requirement). If <i>C</i> is not causally connected to <i>E</i>, its contribution is zero. Additionally, it remains unclear whether the degree of causal contribution depends on proximity to necessity or sufficiency. These are the necessity and sufficiency criteria for causal contributions. The proposed function can be adjusted to capture either criterion, using one formula for the sufficiency view and another for the necessity view.</p>

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Estimating degrees of causal contribution

  • Mattias Gunnemyr

摘要

How do we best measure degrees of causal contribution? Dependence theorists argue that causal strength is determined by the difference it makes, but this approach yields counterintuitive results in cases of overdetermination and pre-emption. Production theorists propose measuring an event’s causal contribution by the number of sets of actual events sufficient for the effect where the cause is necessary, yet they face challenges in pre-emption and switching cases. I propose an account that combines dependence and minimal sufficiency theories, avoiding these counterintuitive implications. This account states that the causal contribution of C to E is a function of the difference C makes to E’s security (a dependency function), provided that C is causally connected to E (a production requirement). If C is not causally connected to E, its contribution is zero. Additionally, it remains unclear whether the degree of causal contribution depends on proximity to necessity or sufficiency. These are the necessity and sufficiency criteria for causal contributions. The proposed function can be adjusted to capture either criterion, using one formula for the sufficiency view and another for the necessity view.