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<p>Using Bayesian Monte Carlo methods, we augment a stochastic distance function measure of bank efficiency and productivity growth with indicators of financial stability, profitability, and capitalization. Our novel Multiple Indicator-Multiple Cause (MIMIC)-style model provides more precise estimates of policy-relevant parameters, including bank efficiency and productivity growth. Analyzing EU-15 banks from 2008 to 2015, we find significant disparities in efficiency, revealing a ‘two-speed’ banking sector. Productivity growth has declined, driven primarily by technological regress rather than managerial inefficiencies. Small and peripheral banks exhibit lower efficiency than larger, core-EU banks, though productivity growth appears stronger among smaller institutions. We show that greater technical efficiency is associated with higher profitability, capitalization, and financial stability, as well as reduced earnings volatility.</p>

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An innovative Bayesian multiple indicator-multiple cause analysis of bank productivity

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年10月24日

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  • Marwan Izzeldin,
  • Emmanuel Mamatzakis,
  • Anthony Murphy,
  • Vasileios Pappas,
  • Mike Tsionas

摘要

Using Bayesian Monte Carlo methods, we augment a stochastic distance function measure of bank efficiency and productivity growth with indicators of financial stability, profitability, and capitalization. Our novel Multiple Indicator-Multiple Cause (MIMIC)-style model provides more precise estimates of policy-relevant parameters, including bank efficiency and productivity growth. Analyzing EU-15 banks from 2008 to 2015, we find significant disparities in efficiency, revealing a ‘two-speed’ banking sector. Productivity growth has declined, driven primarily by technological regress rather than managerial inefficiencies. Small and peripheral banks exhibit lower efficiency than larger, core-EU banks, though productivity growth appears stronger among smaller institutions. We show that greater technical efficiency is associated with higher profitability, capitalization, and financial stability, as well as reduced earnings volatility.