Out-of-home non-work/school activity participation in a flexible work future: a comparative study between pre- and post-pandemic eras among remote, on-site, and hybrid workers
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant shifts in work arrangements, specifically, the transition from on-site to remote or hybrid work, which, in turn, have transformed lifestyles and increased the complexity of travel behaviour, particularly for non-work/school (NWS) trips. Due to their flexibility and adaptability, NWS trips, typically planned around higher-priority work/school schedules, are undergoing critical changes as new work and social norms take hold. This research explores the emergent travel behaviour of hybrid workers, focusing on differences between commuting and non-commuting days, as well as comparisons with on-site and remote workers. Additionally, this study compares pre- and post-pandemic travel patterns to identify lasting changes induced by the pandemic and to examine the temporal transferability of travel demand models. Using data from the 2016 Toronto Tomorrow Survey and the 2023 Toronto Household Activity Travel Survey, this study employs count data models, including negative binomial model and hurdle models, along with mixed-effects models, to estimate trip generation and frequency. Differences and changes are assessed through statistical tests. The findings of the study inform the pandemic-induced evolving rhythms of NWS activity participation and reveal the heterogeneity of travel behaviour brought by work modality and lifestyle. This study validates the necessity of incorporating day-to-day variations and fundamental behavioural shifts into travel demand models for more accurate forecasting in the post-pandemic context. These insights can also inform policy formulation and urban planning, enabling more adaptive and resilient responses to evolving work arrangements and activity-travel behaviour.