In this paper, we propose and analyze implicit residual-based a posteriori error estimates for the ultra-weak discontinuous Galerkin (UWDG) method for nonlinear second-order initial-value problems for ordinary differential equations of the form \(u''=f(x,u)\) . We prove that the UWDG error on each element can be split into two parts. The significant part is proportional to the \((p+1)\) -degree polynomial \((1-\xi )^2P_{p-1}^{2,0}(\xi ),\ \xi \in [-1,1]\) , where \(P_{p-1}^{2,0}(\xi )\) is the \((p-1)\) -degree Jacobi polynomial, when piecewise polynomials of degree \(p\ge 2\) are used. The second part of the error converges with order \(p+2\) in the \(L^2\) -norm. These results allow us to construct a posteriori UWDG error estimates. The proposed residual-based a posteriori error estimators of this paper are reliable and efficient and are obtained by solving a local problem with no side conditions on each element. Furthermore, we prove that, for smooth solutions, these a posteriori error estimates converge to the exact errors in the \(L^2\) -norm under mesh refinement. The order of convergence is proved to be \(p+2\) . Finally, we prove that the global effectivity index converges to unity at \(\mathcal {O}(h)\) rate. As an application, we introduce a local adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) procedure that leverages both our local and global a posteriori error estimates. Our proofs hold for general regular meshes and for \(P^p\) polynomials with \(p\ge 1\) . Several numerical experiments are provided to validate the theoretical results.