ML computational inference techniques and indicator metrics for analyzing uncertainties in stock market data
摘要
In a growing demand of accurately predicting the stock market and inefficient complex markets the rising accurate relationship prediction is not adequately addressed by the conventional methods. The dynamic and complex natures of data sources become the issue and we need to propose an effective method for adaptive algorithms to accurately forecasting and make decision efficiently. The system framed with two stages of execution: The first stage has covered time series-based predictions for different stock values involving the LSTM Model; the second stage integrated the experimental scenarios based on trend, value, indicators, and it's supporting impacted data metrics, which experimented on various large-cap stock companies. The dataset is sourced online by yahoo finance API with consecutive days data and dependable, non-dependable influenced indicators, which helped to intend trend-based evaluation performances. The proposed model experimented on distinct stock values and test cases executed based on indicator-based prediction with a 76.92% accurate performance rate using a Random Forest Classifier and 76.92% of Logistic Regression. The value-based prediction test case has achieved a performance rate of 97.5% using SVR Regressor and 97.2% using Linear Regressor. It computed value of root mean square error for the Ten large cap companies for performance evaluation.