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<p>Migration is often cited as a strategy for households facing the impacts of climate change and variability. As environmental conditions become less favorable for agriculture or other livelihoods in certain regions, households may find it necessary to seek alternative sources of income. Using the NARDL model-based asymmetric Granger causality test over the period 1980–2020, this paper highlights the critical role of remittances in climate adaptation, advancing our understanding of the relationship between economic fluctuations and climatic factors in Tunisia. The findings revealed that the effects of precipitation and temperature changes are asymmetric. Furthermore, remittances are shown to be a crucial factor in ensuring macroeconomic stability in Tunisia, particularly given the country's vulnerability to climate change. These financial flows not only support household resilience but also enhance Tunisia's overall capacity to adapt to shifting meteorological patterns. Additionally, the study allows policymakers and stakeholders to make informed decisions by identifying the key factors that significantly influence economic variability, more effective interventions and better resource allocation to mitigate climate-related risks.</p>

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Remittance reinforcement and economic adaptation: charting Tunisia's path towards climate resilience

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年2月3日

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  • Amal Jmaii

摘要

Migration is often cited as a strategy for households facing the impacts of climate change and variability. As environmental conditions become less favorable for agriculture or other livelihoods in certain regions, households may find it necessary to seek alternative sources of income. Using the NARDL model-based asymmetric Granger causality test over the period 1980–2020, this paper highlights the critical role of remittances in climate adaptation, advancing our understanding of the relationship between economic fluctuations and climatic factors in Tunisia. The findings revealed that the effects of precipitation and temperature changes are asymmetric. Furthermore, remittances are shown to be a crucial factor in ensuring macroeconomic stability in Tunisia, particularly given the country's vulnerability to climate change. These financial flows not only support household resilience but also enhance Tunisia's overall capacity to adapt to shifting meteorological patterns. Additionally, the study allows policymakers and stakeholders to make informed decisions by identifying the key factors that significantly influence economic variability, more effective interventions and better resource allocation to mitigate climate-related risks.