Data-driven fouling prediction and health monitoring of plate heat exchangers based on accelerated fouling experiments and deep learning models
摘要
Fouling accumulation in plate heat exchangers (PHE) significantly deteriorates thermal performance and increases operational costs. Accurate early prediction of fouling is essential for optimizing cleaning schedules and maintaining energy efficiency. This study proposes a fouling prediction framework integrating accelerated fouling experiments and time-series models to achieve effective health monitoring of heat exchangers. An experimental platform was established to simulate composite fouling involving both crystallization and particulate deposition. Throughout the experiment, temperatures, flow rates, and pressures on both the hot and cold sides were systematically monitored. The predictive performance of multilayer perceptron (MLP) model, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and CNN-BiLSTM-Attention hybrid model was comparatively evaluated. Results demonstrated that the CNN-BiLSTM-Attention hybrid model demonstrates excellent performance in predicting the cold-side outlet temperature (R2 = 0.9975). This represents a significant improvement over MLP models (R2 = 0.8697) and LSTM models (R2 = 0.9815). Furthermore, a health condition value (HCV) based on fouling thermal resistance was introduced for dynamic assessment and early warning of performance deterioration. The findings reveal that the proposed HCV index effectively captures the temporal evolution of fouling accumulation. Alerts are triggered when the HCV reaches the predefined threshold, thereby improving operational reliability and reducing risks of unplanned downtime or safety incidents.