Improved earthquake locations through a new 1-D P-wave velocity model for the Isthmus of Panama using particle swarm optimization method
摘要
The Isthmus of Panama experiences high seismic activity, having the potential for destructive earthquakes and serious risks to the population. Here, we present a new 1-D P-wave velocity model for Panama, which could be used for routine and accurate determination of earthquake locations, since Panama currently relies on a global velocity model. We used 23,178 P-wave arrival times from 1,672 selected seismic events between 2013 and 2022, recorded by 128 seismic stations across the country. To perform the analysis of P-wave arrival times, we utilized the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method, which propagates multiple particles that explore the solution space to find the best possible velocity model. The new 1-D P-wave velocity model was obtained after multiple PSO runs, using the results of the previous run as a starting model until we find a model that best fits the seismic data. This model consists of 10 layers extending to a depth of 70 km, where the velocities range from 5.76 km/s at depths of 0-5 km to 8.27 km/s in the deepest layer. The station corrections, consistent with the geology of the Isthmus, allowed accurate relocation of earthquakes, achieving an epicentral distance error of ±3 km and a hypocentral distance error of ±6 km. These results are not only relevant for 3-D seismic tomography, but also valuable for seismic hazard and risk assessments in the Isthmus of Panama.