Prediction of intraoperative hypotension using deep learning models based on non-invasive monitoring devices

Intraoperative hypotension is associated with adverse outcomes. Predicting and proactively managing hypotension can reduce its incidence. Previously, hypotension prediction algorithms using artificial intelligence were developed for invasive arterial blood pressure monitors. This study tested whether routine non-invasive monitors could also predict intraoperative hypotension using deep learning algorithms.

An open-source database of non-cardiac surgery patients (https://vitadb.net/dataset) was used to develop the deep learning algorithm. The algorithm was validated using external data obtained from a tertiary Korean hospital. Intraoperative hypotension was defined as a systolic blood pressure less than 90 mmHg. The input data included five monitors: non-invasive blood pressure, electrocardiography, photoplethysmography, capnography, and bispectral index. The primary outcome was the performance of the deep learning model as assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

Data from 4754 and 421 patients were used for algorithm development and external validation, respectively. The fully connected model of Multi-head Attention architecture and the Globally Attentive Locally Recurrent model with Focal Loss function were able to predict intraoperative hypotension 5 min before its occurrence. The AUROC of the algorithm was 0.917 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.915–0.918) for the original data and 0.833 (95% CI, 0.830–0.836) for the external validation data. Attention map, which quantified the contributions of each monitor, showed that our algorithm utilized data from each monitor with weights ranging from 8 to 22% for determining hypotension.

A deep learning model utilizing multi-channel non-invasive monitors could predict intraoperative hypotension with high accuracy. Future prospective studies are needed to determine whether this model can assist clinicians in preventing hypotension in patients undergoing surgery with non-invasive monitoring.