Single day 14 serum hCG values allow prediction of viable pregnancy and are significantly higher in frozen as compared to fresh single blastocyst transfer

To evaluate if single serum human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) level measurements are sufficient for pregnancy monitoring after single embryo transfer (sET) and to compare the hCG levels between fresh (FRET) and frozen embryo transfers (FET) in medically assisted reproduction.

This was a retrospective exploratory cohort study including all patients who met the inclusion criteria, who received a single FRET (n = 249) or FET (n = 410) of a day five blastocyst at the IVF clinic at the Johannes Kepler University Linz between 2011 and 2020. hCG levels were measured on day 14 after embryo transfer. Threshold values for the viability of pregnancies were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Significantly higher hCG levels were found in those who received FET than in those who received FRET (1222.8 ± 946.7 mU/ml vs. 862.7 ± 572.9 mU/ml; p < 0.001). Optimal threshold values predicting a viable pregnancy were 368.5 mU/ml and 523 mU/ml in the FRET and FET groups, respectively.

After FET, higher hCG values after 14 days of embryo transfer must be considered in pregnancy monitoring. Additionally, a single threshold hCG value seems to be sufficient for determining pregnancy viability. To exclude ectopic pregnancies, subsequent ultrasound examination is a mandatory requirement.