<p>Given a hyperbolic surface <i>X</i> and any closed geodesic <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="12" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="13" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\gamma \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi>γ</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> on <i>X</i>, Mirzakhani provided an asymptotic equivalent of the number <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="20" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="71" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(N_\gamma (a)(X)\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <msub> <mi>N</mi> <mi>γ</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi>a</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi>X</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> of geodesics of length at most <i>a</i> in the mapping class group orbit of <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="12" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="13" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\gamma \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi>γ</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, when <InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq4.gif" Format="GIF" Height="10" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="56" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(a\rightarrow \infty \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi>a</mi> <mo stretchy="false">→</mo> <mi>∞</mi> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. After integrating this result on the moduli space, she obtained a similar asymptotic equivalent of the Weil-Petersson expectation <InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq5.gif" Format="GIF" Height="20" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="62" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\mathbb {E}[N_\gamma (a)]\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="double-struck">E</mi> <mo stretchy="false">[</mo> <msub> <mi>N</mi> <mi>γ</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi>a</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> <mo stretchy="false">]</mo> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. In this paper we use Mirzakhani’s integration formula in order to integrate random variables on the moduli space whose definition involves lengths of eight-shaped geodesics, and we compute the asymptotic behavior of the density of these geometric random variables by using tools developed by Anantharaman and Monk. As a consequence, we improve the asymptotic expansion of the average counting function <InlineEquation ID="IEq6"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq6.gif" Format="GIF" Height="20" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="98" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(a\mapsto \mathbb {E}[N_\gamma (a)]\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi>a</mi> <mo>↦</mo> <mi mathvariant="double-struck">E</mi> <mo stretchy="false">[</mo> <msub> <mi>N</mi> <mi>γ</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi>a</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> <mo stretchy="false">]</mo> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> for geodesics <InlineEquation ID="IEq7"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="12" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="13" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\gamma \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi>γ</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> with exactly one self-intersection and we provide an explicit computation of the leading term of this expansion when <InlineEquation ID="IEq8"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="10711_2025_1043_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="12" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="13" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\gamma \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi>γ</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> is an eight-shaped geodesic on a <i>n</i>-holed sphere.</p>

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Integrals of geometric random variables involving eight-shaped geodesics on hyperbolic surfaces

  • Victor Le Guilloux

摘要

Given a hyperbolic surface X and any closed geodesic \(\gamma \) γ on X, Mirzakhani provided an asymptotic equivalent of the number \(N_\gamma (a)(X)\) N γ ( a ) ( X ) of geodesics of length at most a in the mapping class group orbit of \(\gamma \) γ , when \(a\rightarrow \infty \) a . After integrating this result on the moduli space, she obtained a similar asymptotic equivalent of the Weil-Petersson expectation \(\mathbb {E}[N_\gamma (a)]\) E [ N γ ( a ) ] . In this paper we use Mirzakhani’s integration formula in order to integrate random variables on the moduli space whose definition involves lengths of eight-shaped geodesics, and we compute the asymptotic behavior of the density of these geometric random variables by using tools developed by Anantharaman and Monk. As a consequence, we improve the asymptotic expansion of the average counting function \(a\mapsto \mathbb {E}[N_\gamma (a)]\) a E [ N γ ( a ) ] for geodesics \(\gamma \) γ with exactly one self-intersection and we provide an explicit computation of the leading term of this expansion when \(\gamma \) γ is an eight-shaped geodesic on a n-holed sphere.