Fine-scale mapping and spatiotemporal heterogeneity analysis of industrial CO2 emissions using nighttime light remote sensing in mainland China
摘要
Industrial carbon dioxide (ICO2) are the largest source of CO2 emissions in China, and understanding ICO2 spatiotemporal dynamics is crucial for effective carbon reduction as the country aims to achieve carbon neutrality in the coming decades. Most current studies mapping and analyzing ICO2 emissions at the city or regional scale lack the spatial resolution necessary to inform carbon mitigation policies. Here we developed a panel data model to map ICO2 emissions at a 1 km spatial resolution using integrated nighttime light (NTL) data and energy consumption statistic data from 2000 to 2020 for mainland China. Spatiotemporal variability in ICO2 emissions revealed large spatial heterogeneity, with high concentrations in eastern China and lower levels in the west. The gap in ICO2 emission density between eastern and western China decreased over time. Spatiotemporal trends in ICO2 emissions were classified into four growth patterns, high growth (HG), low growth (LG), negative growth (NG) and high negative growth (HNG). The national increase in ICO2 emissions was attributed to emissions from 372 municipal cities, with contributions from two or more growth patterns based on local variations analysis. Furthermore, spatial clustering of ICO2 emissions was observed over the years. ICO2 emissions are strongly correlated with industrial structures, with the secondary sector accounting for the largest source for ICO2 emissions. The findings enhance the understanding of the variations in ICO2 emissions both across and within cities, provide critical insights of the differentiated roles from the cities on the national ICO2 emissions, and support optimizing industrial structures and implementing effective carbon reduction measures.