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Lifestyle changes in middle age and risk of cancer: evidence from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

  • Edoardo Botteri,
  • Giulia Peveri,
  • Paula Berstad,
  • Vincenzo Bagnardi,
  • Geir Hoff,
  • Alicia K. Heath,
  • Amanda J. Cross,
  • Paolo Vineis,
  • Laure Dossus,
  • Mattias Johansson,
  • Heinz Freisling,
  • Komodo Matta,
  • Inge Huybrechts,
  • Sairah L. F. Chen,
  • Kristin B. Borch,
  • Torkjel M. Sandanger,
  • Therese H. Nøst,
  • Christina C. Dahm,
  • Christian S. Antoniussen,
  • Sandar Tin Tin,
  • Agnès Fournier,
  • Chloé Marques,
  • Fanny Artaud,
  • Maria-José Sánchez,
  • Marcela Guevara,
  • Carmen Santiuste,
  • Antonio Agudo,
  • Rashmita Bajracharya,
  • Verena Katzke,
  • Fulvio Ricceri,
  • Claudia Agnoli,
  • Manuela M. Bergmann,
  • Matthias B. Schulze,
  • Salvatore Panico,
  • Giovanna Masala,
  • Anne Tjønneland,
  • Anja Olsen,
  • Tanja Stocks,
  • Jonas Manjer,
  • Amaia Aizpurua-Atxega,
  • Elisabete Weiderpass,
  • Elio Riboli,
  • Marc J. Gunter,
  • Pietro Ferrari

摘要

In this study, we aimed to provide novel evidence on the impact of changing lifestyle habits on cancer risk. In the EPIC cohort, 295,865 middle-aged participants returned a lifestyle questionnaire at baseline and during follow-up. At both timepoints, we calculated a healthy lifestyle index (HLI) score based on cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index and physical activity. HLI ranged from 0 (most unfavourable) to 16 (most favourable). We estimated the association between HLI change and risk of lifestyle-related cancers—including cancer of the breast, lung, colorectum, stomach, liver, cervix, oesophagus, bladder, and others—using Cox regression models. We reported hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Median time between the two questionnaires was 5.7 years, median age at follow-up questionnaire was 59 years. After the follow-up questionnaire, we observed 14,933 lifestyle-related cancers over a median follow-up of 7.8 years. Each unit increase in the HLI score was associated with 4% lower risk of lifestyle-related cancers (HR 0.96; 95%CI 0.95–0.97). Among participants in the top HLI third at baseline (HLI > 11), those in the bottom third at follow-up (HLI ≤ 9) had 21% higher risk of lifestyle-related cancers (HR 1.21; 95%CI 1.07–1.37) than those remaining in the top third. Among participants in the bottom HLI third at baseline, those in the top third at follow-up had 25% lower risk of lifestyle-related cancers (HR 0.75; 95%CI 0.65–0.86) than those remaining in the bottom third. These results indicate that lifestyle changes in middle age may have a significant impact on cancer risk.