Spatiotemporal assessment and management of transboundary river water quality using WQImin and APCS-MLR: a case study of the Haihe River Basin
摘要
This study systematically investigates the spatiotemporal variation patterns and pollution driving mechanisms of water quality in transboundary rivers, utilizing monthly monitoring data (2020–2023) from 63 cross-boundary sections in the Haihe River Basin. The results demonstrate: (1) Significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity in water quality, with the annual proportion of "good/excellent" water bodies increasing by 17%, yet decreasing by16.8–18.4% during flood seasons (June–September) due to combined urban/agricultural non-point source pollution. (2) Cluster analysis categorized sections into three types, and established flood/non-flood season-specific WQImin models (R2 ≥ 0.789), reducing monitoring indicators to 6–9 parameters while maintaining accuracy. Furthermore, to address practical governance needs, we developed a unified model and a unified parameters model. (3) The APCS-MLR(Absolute Principal Component Score-Multiple Linear Regression) was employed to identify the dominant influencing factors and quantify their impact magnitude on the key parameters of each model. (4) The proposed dual-mode monitoring network ("classified models–unified parameters") and dynamic traceability management strategy provide a scientific foundation for transboundary river governance. Building upon a comprehensive understanding of transboundary river water quality dynamics, this study developed WQImin for distinct cross-boundary sections to reduce monitoring and management costs. By prioritizing key parameters, we systematically identified dominant influencing factors across models and hydrological periods using APCS-MLR. This dual approach—combining model simplification with source apportionment—provides actionable insights for precision management of transboundary water environments.