错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Geochemical evolution, geostatistical mapping and machine learning predictive modeling of groundwater fluoride: a case study of western Balochistan, Quetta

  • Taimoor Shah Durrani,
  • Malik Muhammad Akhtar,
  • Kaleem U. Kakar,
  • Muhammad Najam Khan,
  • Faiz Muhammad,
  • Maqbool khan,
  • H. Habibullah,
  • Changaiz Khan

摘要

Around 2.6 billion people are at risk of tooth carries and fluorosis worldwide. Quetta is the worst affected district in Balochistan plateau. Endemic abnormal groundwater fluoride ( \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - ) lacks spatiotemporal studies. This research integrates geospatial distribution, geochemical signatures, and data driven method for evaluating \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - levels and population at risk. Groundwater \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - ranged from 0 to 3.4 mg/l in (n = 100) with 52% samples found unfit for drinking. Through geospatial IDW tool hotspot areas affected with low and high groundwater \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - levels were identified. Geochemical distribution in geological setups recognized sediment variation leads to high \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - (NaHCO3) and low \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - (CaHCO3) water types in low elevation (central plain) and high elevation (mountain foot) respectively. Results of the modified water quality index identified 60% samples to be unsuitable for drinking. Support vector machine (SVM), random forest regression (RFR) and classification and regression tree (CART) machine learning models found \({\text{Na}}^{+}\) Na + , Salinity and \({\text{Ca}}^{+2}\) Ca + 2 as important contributing variables in groundwater \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - prediction. CART model with R2 value of 0.732 outperformed RFR and SVM in predicting \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - . Noncarcinogenic health risk vulnerability from \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - increased from Adults < Teens < Children < Infants. Infants and children with hazard quotient values of 11.3 and 4.2 were the most vulnerable population at risk for consuming \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - contaminated groundwater. The research emphasizes on both nutritional need and hazardous effect of \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - , and development of desirable limit for \({\text{F}}^{-}\) F - .