<p>The 2025 <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\:{M}_{w}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> 7.0 Xizang Dingri normal-fault earthquake offers a rare opportunity to evaluate the performance of existing ground-motion models (GMMs) for large normal-fault events (<InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\:{M}_{w}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> ≥ 7.0). Using 35 three-component strong-motion records spanning 35–300&#xa0;km, we assessed four NGA-West2 models and two Chinese regional models (CEA2019, ZB2022). Results show that while NGA-West2 models perform well for low-frequency ground motion parameters (e.g., PSA (T ≥ 3&#xa0;s)), they systematically overpredict mid- to high-frequency parameters (PGA, PSA (T &lt; 2.5&#xa0;s)) in both near- and far-field, likely due to differences in source characteristics and strong crustal attenuation in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. The ZB2022 model, although calibrated using data from the eastern Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, also exhibits high-frequency (PSA (T &lt; 0.5&#xa0;s)) overestimation, possibly due to magnitude extrapolation limitations and regional heterogeneity. The CEA2019 model performs well in the near-field but significantly underpredicts long-period motions in the far-field, which may be related to limitations in its modeling methodology. Duration analysis shows both AS16 and WEN18 models underestimate long-duration shaking at far-field. These discrepancies highlight the limitations of existing GMMs in capturing ground motions of large normal-fault earthquakes in Qinghai–Xizang plateau. Our findings emphasize the need for updated regional GMMs incorporating plateau-specific source and attenuation characteristics, particularly for improving ground motion predictions in future seismic hazard assessments.</p>

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Ground-motion models validation for large normal-fault earthquakes (\(\:{M}_{w}\)≥7.0): a case study of the 2025 Xizang Dingri earthquake

  • Shuai Wang,
  • Zhinan Xie,
  • Yangtao Yuan,
  • Jianqi Lu

摘要

The 2025 \(\:{M}_{w}\) 7.0 Xizang Dingri normal-fault earthquake offers a rare opportunity to evaluate the performance of existing ground-motion models (GMMs) for large normal-fault events ( \(\:{M}_{w}\) ≥ 7.0). Using 35 three-component strong-motion records spanning 35–300 km, we assessed four NGA-West2 models and two Chinese regional models (CEA2019, ZB2022). Results show that while NGA-West2 models perform well for low-frequency ground motion parameters (e.g., PSA (T ≥ 3 s)), they systematically overpredict mid- to high-frequency parameters (PGA, PSA (T < 2.5 s)) in both near- and far-field, likely due to differences in source characteristics and strong crustal attenuation in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. The ZB2022 model, although calibrated using data from the eastern Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, also exhibits high-frequency (PSA (T < 0.5 s)) overestimation, possibly due to magnitude extrapolation limitations and regional heterogeneity. The CEA2019 model performs well in the near-field but significantly underpredicts long-period motions in the far-field, which may be related to limitations in its modeling methodology. Duration analysis shows both AS16 and WEN18 models underestimate long-duration shaking at far-field. These discrepancies highlight the limitations of existing GMMs in capturing ground motions of large normal-fault earthquakes in Qinghai–Xizang plateau. Our findings emphasize the need for updated regional GMMs incorporating plateau-specific source and attenuation characteristics, particularly for improving ground motion predictions in future seismic hazard assessments.