Blue economy and poverty reduction in Africa: does women’s political participation make a difference?
摘要
The study investigates the moderating and nonlinear effects of female political participation on the relationship between the blue economy and poverty reduction in Africa, using panel data from 50 African countries from 2000 to 2023. Drawing on the System GMM and the Dynamic panel threshold regression approach, the analysis addresses issues of heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation, and endogeneity. The findings indicate that blue economy is significantly associated with poverty reduction, with a stronger effect observed on the multidimensional SDG Goal 1 index compared to the poverty headcount ratio. Furthermore, the proportion of women in parliament and ministerial positions significantly moderates the relationship between the blue economy and poverty in Africa, such that higher female political representation enhances the poverty-reducing effect of the blue economy. The threshold results show that blue economy reduces poverty more strongly when women’s representation in parliament and ministerial positions exceeds a certain threshold. Below these thresholds, the effect is weak or insignificant. The study contributes to the literature by highlighting the role of women’s political empowerment in shaping inclusive policy outcomes and strengthening the governance architecture necessary for translating blue economy strategies into meaningful poverty alleviation.