<p>This article examines whether the intensity of natural disasters impacts capital inflows. We decompose capital inflows into equity-based and debt-based components, allowing us to better identify the channels through which natural disasters affect capital inflows. Using data from over 150 countries between 1990 and 2021, we empirically show that capital inflows decline following natural disasters. However, this effect varies across capital flow types, primarily affecting portfolio equity and debt flows. Additionally, our findings highlight significant country heterogeneity: lower living standards, weaker infrastructure, and lower government efficiency are associated with greater vulnerability of capital inflows to natural disasters. Finally, we demonstrate that results are sensitive to the choice of disaster measures, suggesting that different measures may capture distinct transmission channels linking natural disasters and capital flows.</p>

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Natural disasters and international financial flows: global evidence

  • Alex Bao,
  • Whelsy Boungou,
  • Théo Lamagnere

摘要

This article examines whether the intensity of natural disasters impacts capital inflows. We decompose capital inflows into equity-based and debt-based components, allowing us to better identify the channels through which natural disasters affect capital inflows. Using data from over 150 countries between 1990 and 2021, we empirically show that capital inflows decline following natural disasters. However, this effect varies across capital flow types, primarily affecting portfolio equity and debt flows. Additionally, our findings highlight significant country heterogeneity: lower living standards, weaker infrastructure, and lower government efficiency are associated with greater vulnerability of capital inflows to natural disasters. Finally, we demonstrate that results are sensitive to the choice of disaster measures, suggesting that different measures may capture distinct transmission channels linking natural disasters and capital flows.