Demographic and social determinants of mortality in cerebral arteriovenous malformations: identifying high-risk clusters in the U.S.
摘要
Health disparities in cerebral arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) arise from multifaceted factors, influencing clinical outcomes. This study models these disparities and explores their association with AVM-related mortality. Using the National Inpatient Sample (2016–2020), we identified cerebral AVM cases via ICD-10 codes. Multivariable, and ridge logistic regressions assessed mortality risk and length of stay. Risk clusters were identified by performing a factor analysis for mixed data (FAMD), followed by K-means clustering. Clusters memberships were associated with mortality and length of stay using logistic regression, adjusted for AVM rupture, treatment, and hospital characteristics. Among 11,755 patients, 2.9% (344) died during hospitalization. Logistic regression showed that residing in non-micropolitan counties (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.03–2.84) and older age (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.01–1.02 per year) increased mortality risk. Ridge regression identified higher income (76th–100th percentile: OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.74–0.84) and fringe metropolitan residency (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.87–0.99) as protective, while self-pay status elevated mortality (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.26–1.37). Clustering revealed three groups (high, medium and low risk of death); being the high-risk group defined as older, predominantly female White Medicare users (median age 70), had the highest mortality risk (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.63–2.76) compared to the medium risk group. This study highlights the role of social determinants in shaping disparities in AVM outcomes. By modeling disparities in a non-linear way, we identified high-risk patient clusters, particularly older White females on Medicare residing in central metropolitan areas, who face the greatest mortality risk.