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Deep soil seismic hazard assessment: analyzing the impact of local site effects by stochastic site response analysis—a comparative approach

  • Muhammad Salman Ali,
  • Kashif Saeed,
  • Ma Jianxun,
  • Luo Dong,
  • Liaqat Ali

摘要

Incorporating local site effects into seismic hazard analysis, especially for deep soil sites, is crucial. This study describes probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) incorporating site effects for a deep soil site in Pakistan. Bedrock hazard is assessed in FRISK88M using a rigorous logic tree. Equivalent linear site response analysis (SRA) is performed in STRATA and captured the soil variability properties via Monte Carlo simulations. We proposed a hybrid approach in this study which utilizes the outcomes of Random Vibration Theory (RVT) and multiple Time Histories (TH) approach to assess the site-specific amplifications. Incorporating site amplifications transforms rock ground motion models into site-specific then we performed soil PSHA in FRISK88M. The analysis revealed that RVT overpredicts (3–17%) while TH underpredict (1–6%) hazard as compared to the hybrid approach at all return periods. The hybrid approach proposed in this study provides an innovative, effective and reliable estimates.