Sakawa River plume in Sagami Bay, Japan under weak wind condition: numerical simulation of coastal ocean dynamics and in situ observations for validation

This study proposes a method for estimating river plume length from water levels and river discharge rates. A numerical model for coastal ocean dynamics was refined by comparing thermohaline fields calculated using the model with those measured off the mouth of the Sakawa River in Sagami Bay, Japan. The model successfully captured the reduction in salinity within the surface 1.0-m layer caused by riverine water transport. The simulated surface salinity maps revealed that the dynamic motions of the river plumes were primarily driven by one of the two diurnal occurrences of tidal current intensification. Regression analyses of the simulated results demonstrated that the river plume lengths were closely correlated with the water levels and river discharge rates, and that they could be accurately estimated from preceding river discharge rates under weak wind condition.