Influence of Extreme Climate events on wind and Solar Energy over the Gobi Desert Region of China in the future
摘要
Utilization of wind and solar energy is an effective approach to achieving the goal of carbon neutrality. The Gobi Desert region of China has installed and will construct massive wind and solar bases. Despite studies on the projection of wind and solar energy in the future, however, how to account for the influence of climate disasters on wind and solar energy potential, to provide references for wind and solar energy development, is the concerned issue for the both Chinese government and society. This study investigates the influences of extreme climate events, including snowfall, sand dust, cold waves, and extreme high and low temperatures on the efficiency loss of wind and solar energy over the Gobi Desert region of China under different future climate scenarios. Results suggest that the annual mean efficiency loss of wind and solar energy caused by future extreme climate events would be 15%~23% and 13%~18%, respectively. Considering the impacts of extreme climate events, the comprehensive utilization potential of wind and solar energy in the future would be optimistic and optimal in the Gansu, Mengxi and Mengdong regions, especially under the low emission scenario. Results illuminate and highlight that it is urgent to consider the influence of extreme climate events in the policymaking of renewable energy development in the future.