<p>Mining-induced water-conducting fractures are the root cause of water disaster in coal mines. However, the traditional prediction for the height of the water-conducting fracture under complex stress environments remains challenging due to low accuracy and poor applicability. In this study, the conventional prediction parameters for the height of the water-conducting fracture were used, the stress growth coefficient of the overburden was introduced, and a dynamic all-dimensional prediction model for the height of the water-conducting fracture was constructed using the APSO algorithm. Subsequently, a dynamic all-dimensional APSO algorithm prediction method for the height of the water-conducting fracture in complex stress environments was proposed, and prediction software was developed based on the proposed method. The prediction results show that 90% of the predicted data exhibit an accuracy of up to 95%. The maximum deviation in on-site measurement points remains within a tolerance of 2%, and the absolute error in predicting the height of water conduction crack is less than 1.5&#xa0;m. The research results are of great significance for the prevention and control of water disaster in the coal mine.</p>

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A Dynamic All-Dimensional Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm Prediction Method for the Height of the Water-Conducting Fracture in Complex Stress Environments

  • Yingshun Li,
  • Junmeng Li,
  • Yanli Huang,
  • Zetian Ai,
  • Shenyang Ouyang,
  • Yachao Guo,
  • Zizhao Ding

摘要

Mining-induced water-conducting fractures are the root cause of water disaster in coal mines. However, the traditional prediction for the height of the water-conducting fracture under complex stress environments remains challenging due to low accuracy and poor applicability. In this study, the conventional prediction parameters for the height of the water-conducting fracture were used, the stress growth coefficient of the overburden was introduced, and a dynamic all-dimensional prediction model for the height of the water-conducting fracture was constructed using the APSO algorithm. Subsequently, a dynamic all-dimensional APSO algorithm prediction method for the height of the water-conducting fracture in complex stress environments was proposed, and prediction software was developed based on the proposed method. The prediction results show that 90% of the predicted data exhibit an accuracy of up to 95%. The maximum deviation in on-site measurement points remains within a tolerance of 2%, and the absolute error in predicting the height of water conduction crack is less than 1.5 m. The research results are of great significance for the prevention and control of water disaster in the coal mine.