Preoperative factors predicting outcomes in patients with suspected perihilar cholangiocarcinoma referred for curative resection— a single-center 10-year experience

Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) is a rare malignancy requiring resection of extrahepatic bile ducts with or without hepatectomy. Prognostic models for post-operative outcomes in pCCA are unusable in pre-operative decision-making as most are based on post-operative variables. Additionally, no pre-operative models include futile laparotomy or benign hilar stenosis (BHS) as possible outcomes. We investigated pre-operative predictive factors for non-resectability, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS), in patients referred for resection of suspected pCCA.

Patients with suspected pCCA evaluated at multidisciplinary team (MDT) conference and referred for curative resection at Rigshospitalet, from 2013-2023. Outcomes were preoperative factors related to OS, DFS and non-resectability.

Ninety-three patients with suspected pCCA were considered resectable at MDT, of which 84 (90.3 %) were confirmed pCCA. Nineteen (20.4 %) with pCCA were non-resectable. Patients with non-resectable pCCA had higher pre-operative p-bilirubin and ECOG-performance status (ECOG-PS) compared to resected pCCA and BHS (p=0.02 and 0.01). Portal vein embolization (PVE), higher ECOG-PS and elevated p-bilirubin were associated with worse OS in patients with pCCA undergoing surgical exploration [(HR 2.45 (95% CI 1.32-4.56), p=0.004), (HR 2.32 (95% CI 1.30-4.09), p=0.004) and (HR 2.03 (95% CI 1.17-3.51), p=0.01), respectively]. PVE and larger tumor size were associated with poorer DFS [HR 3.29 (95 % CI 1.64- 6.60), p=0.001) and (HR 1.02 (95% CI 1.00-1.04), p=0.003) respectively].

Poor ECOG-PS, PVE, elevated p-bilirubin and larger tumor size were associated with adverse survival in patients with pCCA undergoing surgical exploration. Non-resectable pCCA were associated with higher rates of elevated p-bilirubin and larger tumor size.