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An heuristic scree plot criterion for the number of factors

  • Ard H. J. den Reijer,
  • Pieter W. Otter,
  • Jan P. A. M. Jacobs

摘要

Cattel’s (Multivar Behav Res 1:245–276, 1966) heuristic determines the number of factors as the elbow point between ‘steep’ and ‘not steep’ in the scree plot. In contrast, an elbow is by definition absent in points on a hyberbole with corresponding equisized surfaces. We formalize this heuristic and propose a criterion to determine the number of factors by comparing surfaces under the scree plot. Monte Carlo simulations shows that the finite-sample properties of our proposed criterion outperform benchmarks in the dynamic factor model literature.