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<p>Adaptive river basin management is uncertain and complex, as it requires assessing the combined effects of climate change and human activities. Conventional strength-weakness-opportunities and threat (SWOT) decision analysis failed to quantify the indeterminacy concerning factors in adaptive management. To address these limitations, this study introduces a hybrid decision-support system that combines interval valued fuzzy hybrid SWOT (IVFH-SWOT) analysis with fuzzy evaluation of resilience metrics (FERM). To demonstrate its effectiveness, the study evaluated 11 strategic options across four aspects of adaptive sustainability: ecological balance, hydrological-geomorphological integrity, socio-economic and energy potential, and catastrophe resilience. The derived strategies were prioritized based on the multi-stakeholder analysis performed on the data gathered about these four aspects. The findings underscore dam operations regulations (score: 0.7561), treatment of wastewater infrastructure (0.7226), and development of hydropower (0.7122) as the most efficacious strategies. These findings illustrate the trade-offs between resilience performance and sustainability under indeterminate conditions. The proposed framework offers a robust, transferable tool for practitioners and policymakers for adaptive sustainable river basin management.</p>

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Adaptive Basin Management under Determinate and Indeterminate Sustainability Factors

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年1月30日

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  • Anirudh Sharma,
  • Ajit Pratap Singh,
  • Srinivas Rallapalli

摘要

Adaptive river basin management is uncertain and complex, as it requires assessing the combined effects of climate change and human activities. Conventional strength-weakness-opportunities and threat (SWOT) decision analysis failed to quantify the indeterminacy concerning factors in adaptive management. To address these limitations, this study introduces a hybrid decision-support system that combines interval valued fuzzy hybrid SWOT (IVFH-SWOT) analysis with fuzzy evaluation of resilience metrics (FERM). To demonstrate its effectiveness, the study evaluated 11 strategic options across four aspects of adaptive sustainability: ecological balance, hydrological-geomorphological integrity, socio-economic and energy potential, and catastrophe resilience. The derived strategies were prioritized based on the multi-stakeholder analysis performed on the data gathered about these four aspects. The findings underscore dam operations regulations (score: 0.7561), treatment of wastewater infrastructure (0.7226), and development of hydropower (0.7122) as the most efficacious strategies. These findings illustrate the trade-offs between resilience performance and sustainability under indeterminate conditions. The proposed framework offers a robust, transferable tool for practitioners and policymakers for adaptive sustainable river basin management.