Trend, disparities, and projection analysis of public data on shoulder fractures in Sweden: a retrospective analysis of two hundred and sixty two thousand, four hundred and forty four fractures

We aimed to identify temporal trends, seasonal changes and regional differences in shoulder fractures in Sweden during 2008–2022.

Data from the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare were used to assess incidence rates per 100,000 people, categorized by sex, age, and month.

Results showed an average of 17,496 fractures annually, with a decline in 2020 followed by a resurgence in 2021–2022. Elderly women, especially those over 65, had higher rates. Winter months exhibited increased incidence.

Projection analysis indicated a gradual decrease in fractures over the next 15 years. Understanding these patterns can inform preventive strategies and resource allocation for shoulder fractures in Sweden.