Cross-country dependence and financial integration in the last 150 years
摘要
Over the last two centuries, the international financial system has undergone significant developments, with key historical events shaping financial markets and economies worldwide. We offer a new long-term perspective on international financial market integration using a flexible dynamic panel approach that accommodates heterogeneous slope coefficients while accounting for cross-country dependence. Our analysis uncovers several interesting findings. For real long-term interest rates, we observe a distinct U-shaped pattern. In contrast, the integration of global financial markets for equities has significantly increased in recent years. Additionally, long-term nominal interest rates and bond markets have become considerably more integrated since the Bretton Woods era, exhibiting a J-shaped pattern throughout the period under study.