AfGNN: adaptive graph neural networks for causal failure reasoning in DFMEA
摘要
Design Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (DFMEA) traditionally relies on static tables, limiting its ability to capture failure propagation across design hierarchies or support reasoning under out-of-distribution conditions. These constraints hinder knowledge reuse and evidence-based decision-making in early design phases. To address this, we formalize failure knowledge as a directed Knowledge Graph grounded in fault-tree logic and introduce AfGNN (Adaptive Failure Graph Neural Network). AfGNN achieves robust prediction on rare, long-tail failure patterns through three integrated innovations: (1) Causal-Enhanced Soft-Label Embedding (CESLE), which integrates semantic similarity with causal weights to distinguish genuine relationships from statistical correlations; (2) a Depth-Adaptive Causal Propagation Framework, synergizing dynamic subgraph sampling with depth-decay attention to balance efficiency and fidelity while suppressing noise in deep layers; and (3) a formalized computational workflow that transforms DFMEA into a reusable causal graph, enabling systematic reasoning over incomplete failure records. Evaluated on five public datasets and a self-constructed automotive failure KG, AfGNN surpasses all GNN-based baselines and competes with LLM-based methods on general benchmarks, while substantially outperforming all baselines on the domain-specific FMEA dataset (MRR, Hits@1, Hits@10). This framework enables engineers to reason about rare multi-failure cascading effects without relying on complete historical data, advancing failure knowledge management and reliability-oriented design decision-making.