Economic Drivers of Microcystin Dynamics in Lakes of the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River, China
摘要
Microcystins (MCs) threaten aquatic ecosystems and public health. While ecological drivers are well-studied, macroeconomic influences remain poorly understood. We introduced a novel Frequency-Microcystin (F-MC) index, integrating concentration and spatial prevalence, to assess risk in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Correlation analysis identified the secondary industry workforce as the strongest correlate of the F-MC index (Kendall’s τ = 0.670, p < 0.01). Stepwise regression further revealed it as the sole dominant predictor, explaining 74.2% of its variance (p < 0.001). In contrast, primary industry indicators and key physicochemical factors showed no significant predictive power. Our findings demonstrate that the industrial workforce is a paramount driver of MC pollution, eclipsing traditional limnological parameters and underscoring the need for macroeconomic regulation in water quality management.