We study the top Lyapunov exponent of a product of random \(2 \times 2\) matrices appearing in the analysis of several statistical mechanical models with disorder, extending a previous treatment of the critical case (Giacomin and Greenblatt, ALEA 19 (2022), 701-728) by significantly weakening the assumptions on the disorder distribution. The argument we give completely revisits and improves the previous proof. As a key novelty we build a probability that is close to the Furstenberg probability, i.e., the invariant probability of the Markov chain corresponding to the evolution of the direction of a vector in \(\mathbb {R}^2\) under the action of the random matrices, in terms of the ladder times of a centered random walk which is directly related to the random matrix sequence. We then show that sharp estimates on the ladder times (renewal) process lead to a sharp control on the probability measure we build and, in turn, to the control of its distance from the Furstenberg probability.