Development and evaluation of a historical-record-informed plan for microbiological lot disposition
摘要
Sampling-based lot disposition plans are essential to verify compliance with microbiological criteria in food safety management. Although lot-level quantitative microbiological records are routinely stored in auditable food safety systems, limited research has examined how recent comparable records can be formally incorporated into sampling-based lot disposition decisions. To bridge this gap, this study develops a historical-record-informed inspection plan (HRIP) based on a microbial safety index, which systematically incorporates historical lot-level data into current lot disposition decisions. Comparative analyses show that HRIP enhances cost-effectiveness and discriminatory power compared to existing single sampling plans. Furthermore, a cloud-computing solver was developed to facilitate optimal plan design, ensuring practical applicability. Finally, an illustrative example demonstrates the method's use in verifying Listeria monocytogenes in ready-to-eat foods.